But for those who have long believed Iowa has far too much influence on the nominating process, an incoherent outcome could actually be a good thing.
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By choosing I Accept , you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Reddit Pocket Flipboard Email. Michael B. In brief, the numbers that Iowa Democrats will report on caucus night are: 1 The pre-realignment vote total: This is the initial tally of how many people prefer each candidate at each of the more than 1, individual caucus sites added together for a statewide total. How the Iowa caucuses actually work: Vote-counting edition Members of the audience listen to event organizers during the start of a mock caucus event on January 28, , in Mason City, Iowa.
How the Iowa caucuses actually work: Delegate-counting edition Now, when delegates come in is when it gets really confusing. Each individual precinct caucus will elect a certain preset number of county convention delegates to go to one of the 99 county conventions in Iowa. Each county gets to determine the size of its convention. So, for example, Story County and Pottawattamie County have similarly sized populations, but the former will have county convention delegates and the latter will have There will be 11, county delegates overall.
Each county also has a preset number of state delegates it will be able to send to the Iowa Democratic convention. And the number of state delegates a county gets depends on how many votes its attendees cast for the Democratic nominees in the most recent gubernatorial and presidential race, averaged. So, for example, Story and Pottawattamie counties have similarly sized populations, but Story had more Democratic voters, so it gets 83 state delegates and Pottawattamie gets There will be 2, state delegates overall.
These are the delegates Iowa will send to the Democratic National Convention. This year, it will send 41 pledged delegates who are bound to support to specific candidates based on the caucus results. To get the county convention delegate result, then, you apply the final vote total proportionally and round where necessary.
But then we have to change those county delegates to state delegate equivalents. In that sense, the question would be whether Iowa should go first, and not whether the turnout for the caucuses is adequate. Consider, second, that when we look at turnout rates for other state primaries and caucuses—an average of County Population :.
Median Age :. Median Income :. Total Population Registered to Vote :. Home Ownership :. Declared Religious Affiliation :. Gun Ownership :. County Party Offices. The story out of Iowa? All about Gary Hart. His shoestring campaign went on to win him a victory in the New Hampshire primary and he gave Mondale a tough race all the way to the end although in the end, Mondale won the nomination. Kamarck The expectations in Iowa will be the result of polling.
Ever since September, it looks like the race has settled into one between the top four candidates and everyone else. The final Des Moines Register poll will come out on Saturday evening and cement expectations. But polling in a caucus state is extremely difficult for many reasons—not the least of which is the fact that the time commitment to vote is so much longer and more onerous than stopping by your polling place on the way to pick up the kids from basketball practice.
Many outcomes could upset the expectations. As a side note, the Republican and Democratic parties in each state can, and often have, choose different methods to select their convention delegates, with one party holding a primary and the other a caucus. That changed after the national Democratic Party revamped its nominating process in the wake of its chaotic convention.
As a consequence of those changes, the Iowa party moved its precinct caucuses — which typically had been held in late March or early April — to Jan. In , George McGovern campaigned in Iowa to raise his profile ahead of the New Hampshire primary; even though McGovern came in third in Iowa, he ultimately won the nomination.
In , the Republican and Democratic parties agreed to hold their caucuses on the same day, and both attracted substantial attention from candidates and the media. Since then, the state has zealously defended its first-in-the-nation status. But this status has not come without opposition.
Black Americans make up Despite the acres upon acres of corn and soybean fields you may have seen on TV, only 3. Around one-in-six employed Iowans In , 7. Iowa is less urban than most states. Nationwide, Fresh data delivered Saturday mornings. It organizes the public into nine distinct groups, based on an analysis of their attitudes and values.
Even in a polarized era, the survey reveals deep divisions in both partisan coalitions.
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